1. What is to be expected of Donald Trump’s foreign policy?
The United States will not withdraw from international relations, contrary to many forecasts. Mr. Trump’s personality and his idea of “America the Great” leave no room for “splendid isolation.” Like most U.S. presidents, he’ll want to shine on the international stage to show his strength at home. He will benefit from the interaction with Vladimir Putin, Benjamin Netanyahu, Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Angela Merkel, the stage of major political summits, the celebration of power and influence in Camp David. A departure from foreign policy can be nothing more than an illusion for commander-in-chief of the U.S. military with its 1.4 million soldiers and 7,000 nuclear weapons, 10 currently active aircraft carriers, 450 intercontinental ballistic missiles and 8,850 tanks. It is still unclear whether his foreign policy will be hostile or conciliatory and intent on cooperation. At this point, it is safe to say Mr. Trump probably doesn’t know himself.