It doesn’t sound like a good mix: Sharp declines in the stock market, competitive pressure resulting from weak currencies in Europe and China, ailing industrial and export companies, barely perceptible wage increases. It’s no surprise that there are such widespread doubts about the strength of the U.S. economy.
What investors mainly see is the gloomy series of events in capital markets and stagnating wages among American workers. From the German perspective, the most important factor behind a solid economy is the growth of industrial and exporting companies, in keeping with Germany’s model of success.
The official figures in the United States are also lackluster, though still better than in most other developed countries. Growth has probably slowed recently to an annual rate of about 1 percent, and productivity is only improving minimally. The balance of trade is only stable because imports have declined.
Is the U.S. economy merely an apparent giant who, like in the children’s book “Jim Button,” shrinks the closer you look at it?
No, because its true strength lies beyond the realm of exports, capital markets and the manufacturing industry.