The Future of the European Union

Handelsblatt Global/YouGov Survey

The YouGov/Handelsblatt Global survey, a series of quarterly polls, aims to measure the levels of uncertainty and fear gripping Europe as it copes with political instability, terror and the breakdown of old institutions.

On behalf of Handelsblatt Global, YouGov asked 1,000 people in eight countries for their views on the European Union, the United States and global security issues and the future of the European Union. The first survey was carried out online between November 21 and December 9, 2016, the second between February 17 and March 3, 2017. The third survey was conducted between May 21 and June 6, 2017.

The YouGov/Handelsblatt Global survey includes the European Convergence Index above, which is gauged from a series of questions that focused on three issues: Do you support the European Union? Do you want deeper or less deep European integration? And do you feel European on a personal level? The average for the first poll across the seven European countries surveyed was 40, indicating a rather bleak outlook for the 28-nation bloc.

The survey also includes a Cold War Barometer, which measures where Europe currently falls between “complete peace” and total “worldwide conflict” on a scale of 0 to 10.

Finally, the survey includes an E.U. Stamina Index (below), which asked the question of whether Europeans are optimistic or pessimistic about the future of the European Union.

The exclusive survey will appear quarterly in Handelsblatt Global. Seven countries in Europe will be surveyed every three months, and the United States and China will be added alternately each quarter. The YouGov survey has a margin of error of 3 percent.

 

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